Climate expert looks at future for Colorado weather
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By the numbers - 2014 in Weather
60th warmest winter on record
34th warmest spring
39th warmest summer
22nd warmest fall
38th wettest year on record
After drought in 2012, floods in 2013 and moderate weather last year, Nolan Doesken knows Colorado’s farmers are looking to this year with uncertain eyes.
During his presentation at the Colorado Farm Show at Island Grove Regional Park on Wednesday, the state climatologist and director of the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network (CoCoRaHS) program at Colorado State University, looked back at the weather of 2014 and forward to the year ahead. In 2014, Doesken reported a normal year statistically, with lower summer temperatures and the highest levels of reservoir storage since 2012. The year was also “a very fine year for snowpack” in the South Platte Basin, he said.
Looking to this water year, which spans from October 2014-September 2015, Doesken said things are looking to be moderate once again. Snowpack in the South Platte basin is currently above average, due to boosts in moisture around Thanksgiving and Christmas. In fact, statewide, most areas are reporting 85 percent of the average snowpack or higher, with the only exceptions located in southern Colorado. Doesken said it will be a weak year for one of the most buzzed about weather indicators — El Niño.
“El Niño is never able to get its act together,” he joked.
This year is predicted to continue a multi-year trend of higher temperatures in areas west of the Continental Divide. Also, southeastern Colorado, which has been suffering a long-lasting drought, is showing above average predictions for moisture.
“I am feeling good about the fact that we could have a decent spring moisture,” Doesken said, adding that there will always be variability he can’t predict. “I’m thinking hotter, but with OK moisture at least for the first part of the summer.” ❖
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I want to address a couple of issues in this week’s editor’s note.